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[null,null,"Exhibit 1: Backtest: Log wealth 1887.01-2018.12 (initial wealth is set to one).",{"$nulls":14},"Exhibit 4: Excess annual return (in percentage points) of original strategies after market impact."]
[]
[{"$nulls":20},"no transaction costs"]
[{"$nulls":20},"impact strategy"]
[{"$nulls":18},"ε (in bp)",null,"RDY","MOM"]
[{"$nulls":17},{"$f":"\"a = \"&'Exhibit4_Impact-Test'!Y25","v":"a = 2"},{"$f":"'Exhibit4_Impact-Test'!Y27","v":100},"RDY",{"$f":"(AVERAGE(g_RDYRDY_1st)*12-(AVERAGE(g_RDY)*12))*100","v":{"v":-3.1878879128074966E-3,"d":"-0.0032"}},{"$f":"(AVERAGE(g_RDYRS_1st)*12-(AVERAGE(g_RDY)*12))*100","v":{"v":0.09862268656076062,"d":"0.0986"}}]
[{"$nulls":19},"MOM",{"$f":"(AVERAGE(g_RSRDY_1st)*12-AVERAGE(g_RS)*12)*100","v":{"v":-0.014722905547248644,"d":"-0.0147"}},{"$f":"(AVERAGE(g_RSRS_1st)*12-AVERAGE(g_RS)*12)*100","v":{"v":1.8978897103734433,"d":"1.8979"}}]
[{"$nulls":17},"The impact is caused by the column strategy with capital amount determined by the value of   in the respective row. Performance is reported for the investment strategy in the corresponding row. We measure performance as the excess annualized return over the performance of that strategy in the original market (Exhibit 2, log returns for the same value of a). Reversal (relative dividend yield, RDY) and time-series momentum (relative strength, MOM). Di erent degrees of aggressiveness a."]
{"$rows_empty":12}
[null,null,"Time-series momentum relative strength (solid line, red), reversal relative dividend yield (bold solid line, blue) and equal weigh benchmark (broken line, black). a = 5. Wealth dynamics is net of transaction costs."]

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["Stock Market Data Used in \"Irrational Exuberance\" Princeton University Press, 2000, 2005, 2015, updated"]
["Robert J. Shiller "]
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{"sheet":"Exhibit1_Backtest","index":3,"n_rows":1777,"n_cols":49,"rows_kept":1777}
["Time","Aufgabe 1","S&P Prices [$]","Dividends [$]","Interests [% p.m.]","S&P Prices [$] (t-1)","div_yield","price_yield","Aufgabe 2","bond_approx_price","eff_bond_yield [% p.m.]","Aufgabe 3","Return bond - Y_Cash","Return S&P 500 - Y_S&P","Hilfzeile t-1","Hilfszeile t+1","Aufgabe 4","Signal: Relative dividend - S(RDY, S&P)","Signal: Relative strenght signal - S(RS, S&P)","Signal: no signal - S(5050, S&P)","Aufgabe 5 (und 8 - hellblau: mit Transaktionskosten)","Lamda: relative dividend strategy - L(RDY, S&P) SET","Lamda: relative dividend strategy (mit Transaktionskosten) - L(RDY, S&P) ACT","Lamda: relative strength strategy -  L(RS, S&P) SET","Lamda: relative strength strategy (mit Transaktionskosten) - L(RS, S&P) ACT","Lamda: 50-50 strategy - L(50:50, S&P) SET","Lamda: 50-50 strategy (mit Transaktionskosten) -L(50:50, S&P) ACT","Transaktionskosten","Aufgabe 6 (und 8)","Return: relative dividend strategy - R(RDY)","Return: relative strength strategy - R(RS)","Return: 50-50 strategy - R(50:50)","Return: relative dividend strategy (mit Transaktionskosten) - R(RDY, TC)","Return: relative strength strategy (mit Transaktionskosten) - R(RS, TC)","Return: 50-50 strategy (mit Transaktionskosten) - R(50:50, TC)","Aufgabe 7","Vermögenswachstum relative dividend strategy - g(RDY)","Vermögenswachstum relative strength strategy - g(RS)","Vermögenswachstum 50% bonds and 50% shares - g(50:50)","Kummuliertes Vermögenswachstum relative dividend strategy g(RDY, TC, kum)","Kummuliertes Vermögenswachstum relativ strength strategy - g(RS, TC, kum) ","Kummuliertes Vermögenswachstum 50% bonds and 50% shares - g(5050, TC, kum)","Aufgabe 8 - mit Transaktionskosten","Vermögenswachstum relative dividend strategy - g(RDY)","Vermögenswachstum relative strength strategy - g(RS)","Vermögenswachstum 50% bonds and 50% shares - g(50:50)","Kummuliertes Vermögenswachstum relative dividend strategy g(RDY, TC, kum)","Kummuliertes Vermögenswachstum relativ strength strategy - g(RS, TC, kum) ","Kummuliertes Vermögenswachstum 50% bonds and 50% shares - g(5050, TC, kum)"]
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[{"$f":"Timecode","v":"Time"},"Aufgabe 10",{"$f":"C2*10000&\"BP  \"&\"(epsilon)\"","v":"100BP  (epsilon)"},{"$f":"\"Impact_neg_\"&$C$1","v":"Impact_neg_100BP  (epsilon)"},{"$f":"\"Impact_pos_RDY_\"&$C$1","v":"Impact_pos_RDY_100BP  (epsilon)"},{"$f":"\"Impact_pos_RS_\"&$C$1","v":"Impact_pos_RS_100BP  (epsilon)"},{"$f":"\"Impact_ges_RDY_\"&$C$1","v":"Impact_ges_RDY_100BP  (epsilon)"},{"$f":"\"Impact_ges_RS_\"&$C$1","v":"Impact_ges_RS_100BP  (epsilon)"},"Aufgabe 11",{"$f":"\"q_impact_RDY_\"&$C$1","v":"q_impact_RDY_100BP  (epsilon)"},{"$f":"\"q_impact_RS_\"&$C$1","v":"q_impact_RS_100BP  (epsilon)"},"Aufgabe 12",{"$f":"\"R_epsilon_1st_11_\"&$C$1","v":"R_epsilon_1st_11_100BP  (epsilon)"},{"$f":"\"R_epsilon_1st_12_\"&$C$1","v":"R_epsilon_1st_12_100BP  (epsilon)"},{"$f":"\"R_epsilon_1st_21_\"&$C$1","v":"R_epsilon_1st_21_100BP  (epsilon)"},{"$f":"\"R_epsilon_1st_22_\"&$C$1","v":"R_epsilon_1st_22_100BP  (epsilon)"},"Aufgabe 13",{"$f":"\"Gamma_IT_1st_11_\"&$C$1","v":"Gamma_IT_1st_11_100BP  (epsilon)"},{"$f":"\"Gamma_IT_1st_12_\"&$C$1","v":"Gamma_IT_1st_12_100BP  (epsilon)"},{"$f":"\"Gamma_IT_1st_21_\"&$C$1","v":"Gamma_IT_1st_21_100BP  (epsilon)"},{"$f":"\"Gamma_IT_1st_22_\"&$C$1","v":"Gamma_IT_1st_22_100BP  (epsilon)"}]
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